three incidents that Mugabe shouldconsider

Newsday opinion page has suggested that there are three things that Mugabe should consider in setting the tone of Zimbabwean politics. According to Newsday, analysis by the Council of Foreign Relations(CFR)'s Center for PreventiveAction says that the risk factors associated with political instability in Zimbabwe are growing fast, as doubts remain over how long the tight discipline will last.

 “Mugabe may serve out his term and successfully hand over power to an anointed successor, but events may unfold in a less orderly fashion,” the CFR analysis, authored by former US ambassador to Namibia George Ward, says.
Three scenarios that could trigger acute instability are presented: that Mugabe dies or becomes incapacitated before installing a chosen successor, that his control is challenged and undermined by growing party factionalism, or an economic crisis triggers demands for political change.

While Mugabe has sought to maintain an active schedule and is current political head of the African Union and the regional Southern African Development Community (Sadc) as he targets another run in 2018, he has however traveled abroad for treatment several times, and has recently been more dependent on his wife for physical support.